BTC Holder Trend

BTC Holder Trend measures the long-term price trend of the BTC market.

1) Price Line

Small red dots are a top warning; the price line turning black is a good selling point.

Large red dots are a top warning; the price line turning black marks the corresponding sell signal.

When the price line turns from green to black, the medium-term trend shifts bearish or sideways.

This model is meant for long-term use; it is not for market timing or short-term trading.

When the price line turns from black to green, the medium-term trend shifts bullish.

A green vertical line means the long-term trend has turned bullish.

A red vertical line means the long-term trend has turned bearish.

Buy when the price line turns green and sell when it turns black; sticking to this over the long run has a near-100% chance of ending in profit—it is the simplest strategy.

Buy on green vertical lines and sell on red vertical lines; over the long term this steadily beats most investors and is the most recommended approach.

2) Bottom Axis

Small green dots suggest a high probability of further upside—suitable for adding on dips.

Short green vertical lines suggest the price is very attractive—you may start dollar-cost averaging.

3) Top Axis

Note: relying on any historical data to predict the future involves risk—please use this information cautiously.